Reports from the Knowledge Labs about our recent findings, research topics, and interviews with lifestyle leaders who are creating their own futures.
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How to stimulate your own powers of foresight. Consider the following thought provokers. Ask yourself, in these categories what are the brand new trends and forces? Which are the ones growing in importance? Which current forces are loosing their steam? Which have peaked or are reversing themselves? Which are the "wildcards" about to disrupt us in the future? POLITICAL AND TECHNICAL thought for food: Electronics, Materials, Energy, Fossil, Nuclear, Alternative, Other, Manufacturing (techniques), Agriculture, Machinery and Equipment, Distribution, Transportation (Urban, Mass, Personal, Surface, Sea, Subsurface, Space), Communication (Printed, Spoken, Interactive, Media), Computers (Information, Knowledge, Storage & Retrieval, Design, Network Resources), Post-Cold War, Third World, Conflict (Local, Regional, Global), Arms Limitation, Undeclared Wars, Terrorism, Nuclear Proliferation, Weapons of Mass Destruction, Governments (More/Less Power and Larger or Smaller Scale), Taxes, Isms: Nationalism, Regionalism, Protectionism, Populism, Cartels, Multinational Corporations, Balance of Trade, Third Party Payments, Regulations (OSHA, etc.) Environmental Impact, U.S. Prestige Abroad. SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC Food for thought:
Labor Movements, Unemployment / Employment Cycles, Recession, Employment Patterns, Work Hours / Schedules, Fringe Benefits, Management Approaches, Accounting Policies, Productivity, Energy Costs, Balance of Payments, Inflation, Taxes, Rates of Real Growth, Distribution of Wealth, Capital Availability and Costs, Reliability of Forecasts, Raw Materials, Availability and Costs, Global versus National Economy, Market versus Planned Economies, Generations: Y, X, Boomers, Elderly, Urban vs. Rural Lifestyles, Affluent vs. Poor, Neighborhoods and Communities, Planned or Organic Growth.
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The Journal of 2020 Foresight
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Wednesday, July 19, 2006
Future-Proof What You Love, Strike It Rich and Mine the Mother Lode
Chapter Four: The Tribal Territories
By Steve Howard, CKO
The Knowledge Labs
Table of Contents
Chapter One: Basecamp
Chapter Two: The Ridge
Chapter Three: The Outpost
Chapter Four: The Tribal Territories
“But remarkably, Jed and the Devil actually look very similar. But they say there’s a little bit of the Devil in everybody. But this resemblance is a little striking for me. It kinda reminds me of myself, actually. But from everything that happens in life, I’ve learned this and I’m at least 10, is that there’s a lot of wreckage from some things and this cop, Officer Carmichael, he had a life.”
Neil Young & Crazy Horse “Greendale”
DOUBLE NICKEL RANCH. We all enter a crossroads in our lives, each from our own, unique life experience. Even those in the same life stage come to seek a different set of options depending upon their current situation.
Journal of 2020 Foresight: In Basecamp Pathfinder helps people listen to their little voices.
Lone Eagle: That’s true. Choosing the right path for them depends on their calling, strengths and weaknesses and their current condition.
J2020F: Give me some examples.
Eagle: Some will have plenty of time to recover from a setback, but others will risk their life savings.
J2020F: So, they’ll be concerned about how realistic their plans are, and if they can stand up against positive and negative scenarios.
Eagle: That’s right. Others have never married. Some are childless. Some married young and others are divorced. Some are widowed. Some have a full house, others in empty nests.
J2020F: So, the impact of their choices affects others living with them for some, but not for others.
Eagle: Don’t forget physical and career fitness aspects.
J2020F: What do you mean?
Eagle: While some are more fit than ever, others are ill and ailing. Many are in rewarding careers, while still others seek change.
J2020F: It’s easy to imagine that some are wealthy, but many others are just getting by. Some are mothers who are just starting or re-starting careers.
Eagle: Yes. Others are career women just starting motherhood. Some are trying to beat the clock, their fertility deadline. Others have many pregnancies behind them and face rising college tuitions.
J2020F: Some are overachievers just beginning to balance out, right?
Eagle: Yes, and still others are laid-back belatedly trying to make some money before it is too late.
J2020F: That's why you start from the inside out, right?
Eagle: Pathfinder helps them clarify their intentions, purpose, and aspirations.
J2020F: And these scenarios help them harness uncertainty and change?
Eagle: Yes, so the when the “big bang explodes” it propels them to their next destination, rather than blows up everything they've worked for along the way.
J2020F: The big bang?
Eagle: Sorry. Trailblazer likes to describe these kinds of decisions as having a long fuse that’s lit. Unfortunately, it’s hard to tell if the choices you make today are the right ones, because the timeframe is too long to the final results.
J2020F: And thebig bang means that if you haven’t saved enough today for your retirement down the road, your golden years may be made of fools gold
Eagle: To test shifting futures, we construct scenarios. Mine ask the question: Can’t we follow our passions and still find the gold at the end of the rainbow?
J2020F: So the four scenarios, then …
Eagle: That we care the most about exist at the intersections of “Doing What I Love” -- instead of what I am forced to do – “What I Hate,” in the last chapters of our life, while “Living Where I Want” or “Living Where I Am.”
J2020F: Let's explore the combinations, then, shall we?
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Copyright ©2002 - 2006 Aarnaes Howard Associates. All rights reserved worldwide.
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